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Is "tax fairness for every generation" really fair?

  • Writer: Protein Daddy
    Protein Daddy
  • May 8, 2024
  • 3 min read

The recent proposal by the Liberal government to increase taxes on capital gains has sparked a flurry of opinions and discussions across Canada. As individuals and businesses grapple with the potential implications, it's essential to delve into the core arguments and dissect the facts from the rhetoric. Is "tax fairness for every generation" really fair?


Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Finance Chrystia Freeland is applauded by Prime Minister Justin Trudeau during a caucus meeting on Parliament Hill, in Ottawa, on April 17. SEAN KILPATRICK/THE CANADIAN PRESS

Impact on Innovation and Entrepreneurship

Entrepreneurs and venture capitalists, such as Allen Lau, a co-founder and operating partner of Two Small Fish, a venture capital firm, have voiced concerns that the tax hike could stifle innovation and drive away talented individuals. Lau highlights the risk of losing Canada's brightest minds to other countries, citing the potential exodus of entrepreneurs and the adverse effects on job creation and economic growth. And as the digital economy grows and many assets nowadays are intangible, the crisis is more serious than ever. The sentiment is not new. We all know Elon Musk is Canadian, Ethereum is founded in Canada, and the co-founder of OpenAI, Ilya Sutskever, is Canadian. Canada is already becoming the best training ground for other countries to capture the value created by these companies outside of Canada. In this era more mobile than ever, how can we keep the most brilliant minds and businesses inside our country?


Wealth Distribution and Tax Fairness

Conversely, proponents of the tax increase argue for greater wealth distribution and tax fairness. They emphasize the need to address income inequality and ensure that the wealthiest individuals contribute their fair share to society. However, what is the true fairness of a taxing system? Different stakeholders hold divergent views on what constitutes a fair taxation system. While advocates for greater taxation of capital gains argue for social justice and economic equity, critics caution against stifling entrepreneurship and innovation. They argue that excessive taxation may deter investment and hinder economic growth, ultimately undermining the very objectives of wealth redistribution.


Economic Implications and Market Dynamics

From a macroeconomic perspective, economists and analysts weigh the potential impact of the tax hike on market dynamics and investor behavior. Concerns were raised about the broader implications for small businesses and the disproportionate impact on younger entrepreneurs, since the $250,000 threshold does not apply to corporations. It does not make sense to tax a mom-and-pop shop the same way we tax Telus. We need a more nuanced approach to taxation, one that considers the diverse landscape of businesses and their contributions to the economy.


Government Policy and Fiscal Strategy

Critics of the proposed tax increase, including Don Drummond, former chief economist at Toronto-Dominion Bank, scrutinize the government's implementation strategy and question the arbitrary deadline set for its enforcement. Drummond suggests that the rushed nature of the policy may lead to unintended consequences, such as market volatility and distortions in investor behavior. For example, many fear the stock price will be depressed prior to June 25th.


The government likely set the June 25 deadline to manage fiscal outcomes. By introducing a window before the tax increase takes effect, it incentivizes individuals and businesses with unrealized gains to sell off assets, aiming to realize these gains under the current, lower tax rate. This move is seen as an attempt to boost tax revenue immediately, given the deficit projections. And given the polling performance so far, it is hard to say if there is no political intention behind the budget.


The measure is expected to generate significant revenue in the short term, contributing to lowering the federal deficit. The budget anticipates a revenue increase of $6.9 billion in 2024-25 from this measure alone, which is a substantial portion of the total projected revenue from this tax hike over five years.


Conclusion

As the debate over the proposed capital gains tax increase unfolds, it's crucial to foster dialogue and informed discourse. With our nation lagging behind in innovation, entrepreneurship, and productivity, we need to examine and urge the federal government to carry out due diligence with the budget. Ultimately, the goal is to create a tax framework that supports Canada's long-term prosperity while ensuring fairness and opportunity for all.


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